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lucaskemper/README.md

Lucas Kemper

Quantitative finance researcher specializing in market regime detection and systematic trading systems.

Research

Hybrid Regime Detection in Semiconductor Equities: A Bayesian HMM-LSTM Framework
SSRN Working Paper | Paper | Code

  • Combined HMM and LSTM outputs using entropy-weighted Bayesian model averaging
  • Achieved >50% volatility reduction and 15-17pt drawdown improvement vs static benchmarks
  • Production-ready framework with comprehensive backtesting and Monte Carlo simulation

Projects

HybridQuantRegimes - Market regime detection and risk management framework

  • Hybrid HMM-LSTM architecture with real-time regime classification
  • Dynamic risk overlays, walk-forward backtesting, Monte Carlo stress testing
  • Modular design for research and production deployment

Narrative-Alpha-Detector - Prediction market mispricing scanner

  • Ensemble forecasting with Perplexity, GPT, Claude, Grok
  • Real-time Polymarket scanning and confidence filtering
  • Adaptive weights, risk-managed portfolio simulation
  • Regime tagging, audit trails, and Streamlit dashboards

Crypto Trading & Arbitrage Bot - Advanced automated trading and arbitrage bot (work in progress)

  • Multi-exchange: Binance, Kraken, and more
  • Statistical arbitrage: cointegration, Z-score signals, mean reversion
  • LLM-powered sentiment scoring and market signal fusion
  • Real-time monitoring web dashboard, Prometheus, Grafana
  • Advanced risk management, backtesting, and cloud deployment

Technical Stack

Languages: Python, R, MATLAB, SQL
ML/AI: PyTorch, TensorFlow, scikit-learn, hmmlearn
Quant: statsmodels, pandas, numpy, QuantLib
Tools: Git, Jupyter, Docker, Streamlit

Contact

Email X (Twitter)

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  1. HybridQuantRegimes HybridQuantRegimes Public

    Python 1

  2. CryptoTrading CryptoTrading Public

    Python