add semi-synthetic causal simulator with observed treatment - #173

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kirilklein wants to merge 21 commits into

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improved-simulation

Commits on Apr 3, 2026

add semi-synthetic causal simulator with observed treatment

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1246ea5
merge baseline/longitudinal coefficients into single dict

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bcbbd41
fix edge cases, add azure components and docs

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b42dca6
vectorize feature functions and add public calibration API

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187bda6
fix per-shard standardization: use two-pass global z-scoring

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515d8df
fix counterfactual AUC: score against matching labels

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50dd4f5
revert counterfactual AUC change: score against factual outcome

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d7bb391
add NaN fallback for event recency when no events exist

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351c22b
fix ruff format for oracle_features.py

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e962f8b

Commits on Jun 26, 2026

add semi-synthetic multi-run study (N outer x K inner) for azure

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86d83dc
fail fast on unknown feature names in simulation config

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5d187a5
make coverage badge step non-blocking in CI

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3ec9ca0

Commits on Jun 27, 2026

read index dates from a cohort artifact instead of raw MEDS

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6b79409
add study summarizer (bias / SD / SE-calibration / coverage)

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b358ef6
restructure study to fixed-cohort flow with bootstrap refits + baseline

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55470e8
point study cohort at adult_diab2/v01

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7500fe4
fix cohort path segment: cohorts/adult_diab2/v01

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1cc61c5

Commits on Jun 28, 2026

take observed treatment from the cohort, not a MEDS exposure code

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1369342

Commits on Jul 21, 2026

fix semisynthetic bootstrap uncertainty workflow
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1edab37
add training-fold bootstrap for k-refit uncertainty

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18e2fa5

Commits on Aug 5, 2026

format with ruff to match ci

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0444221