update pages

frec-5174 · Feb 19, 2025 · b897f94 · b897f94
1 parent 24e050c
commit b897f94
Show file tree

Hide file tree

Showing 39 changed files with 3,024 additions and 23 deletions.
diff --git a/bayesian-process-models.html b/bayesian-process-models.html
@@ -560,7 +560,7 @@ <h2 data-number="19.1" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="running-mcmc-on-the-fore
 <div class="cell">
 <div class="sourceCode cell-code" id="cb7"><pre class="sourceCode r code-with-copy"><code class="sourceCode r"><span id="cb7-1"><a href="#cb7-1" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a>accept <span class="sc">/</span> (num_iter <span class="sc">*</span> num_pars)</span></code><button title="Copy to Clipboard" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
 <div class="cell-output cell-output-stdout">
-<pre><code>[1] 0.3528889</code></pre>
+<pre><code>[1] 0.3535556</code></pre>
 </div>
 </div>
 <p>Process MCMC chain by removing the first 500 iterations and pivoting to a long format</p>

diff --git a/bayesian-process-models_files/figure-html/fig-chains-1.png b/bayesian-process-models_files/figure-html/fig-chains-1.png
diff --git a/bayesian-process-models_files/figure-html/fig-sim-prior-post-1.png b/bayesian-process-models_files/figure-html/fig-sim-prior-post-1.png
diff --git a/data/terrestrial_daily-2025-02-19-bookcast_forest.csv b/data/terrestrial_daily-2025-02-19-bookcast_forest.csv
diff --git a/evaluating-forecasts.html b/evaluating-forecasts.html
@@ -483,7 +483,7 @@ <h3 data-number="11.3.2" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="example-of-a-crps-calc
 <div class="sourceCode cell-code" id="cb4"><pre class="sourceCode r code-with-copy"><code class="sourceCode r"><span id="cb4-1"><a href="#cb4-1" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="fu">library</span>(scoringRules)</span>
 <span id="cb4-2"><a href="#cb4-2" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1"></a><span class="fu">crps_sample</span>(<span class="at">y =</span> y, <span class="at">dat =</span> x)</span></code><button title="Copy to Clipboard" class="code-copy-button"><i class="bi"></i></button></pre></div>
 <div class="cell-output cell-output-stdout">
-<pre><code>[1] 0.2316588</code></pre>
+<pre><code>[1] 0.2384334</code></pre>
 </div>
 </div>
 </section>

diff --git a/evaluating-forecasts_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png b/evaluating-forecasts_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png
diff --git a/index.html b/index.html
@@ -7,7 +7,7 @@
 <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, user-scalable=yes">
 
 <meta name="author" content="R. Quinn Thomas">
-<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2025-02-18">
+<meta name="dcterms.date" content="2025-02-19">
 
 <title>A Practical Guide to Ecosystem Forecasting</title>
 <style>
@@ -405,7 +405,7 @@ <h1 class="title">A Practical Guide to Ecosystem Forecasting</h1>
     <div>
     <div class="quarto-title-meta-heading">Published</div>
     <div class="quarto-title-meta-contents">
-      <p class="date">February 18, 2025</p>
+      <p class="date">February 19, 2025</p>
     </div>
   </div>
 

diff --git a/likelihood-methods_files/figure-html/fig-simple-rnorm-1.png b/likelihood-methods_files/figure-html/fig-simple-rnorm-1.png
diff --git a/likelihood-methods_files/figure-html/fig-simple-rnorm-obs-1.png b/likelihood-methods_files/figure-html/fig-simple-rnorm-obs-1.png
diff --git a/likelihood-methods_files/figure-html/fig-simple-rnorm-obs2-1.png b/likelihood-methods_files/figure-html/fig-simple-rnorm-obs2-1.png
diff --git a/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-all-site-carbon-1.png b/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-all-site-carbon-1.png
diff --git a/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-combined-all-1.png b/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-combined-all-1.png
diff --git a/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-plot-dead-carbon-1.png b/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-plot-dead-carbon-1.png
diff --git a/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-plot-live-carbon-1.png b/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-plot-live-carbon-1.png
diff --git a/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-site-dead-carbon-1.png b/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-site-dead-carbon-1.png
diff --git a/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-site-live-carbon-1.png b/neon-data_files/figure-html/fig-site-live-carbon-1.png
diff --git a/particle-filter-process-model_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-10-1.png b/particle-filter-process-model_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-10-1.png
diff --git a/particle-filter-process-model_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-11-1.png b/particle-filter-process-model_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-11-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-forecast-evaluation.html b/process-model-forecast-evaluation.html
@@ -436,7 +436,7 @@ <h2 data-number="22.2" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="aggregated-scores"><span
 <pre><code># A tibble: 1 × 1
   mean_crps
       &lt;dbl&gt;
-1     0.873</code></pre>
+1     0.872</code></pre>
 </div>
 </div>
 </section>

diff --git a/process-model-forecast-evaluation_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-5-1.png b/process-model-forecast-evaluation_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-5-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-forecast-evaluation_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-7-1.png b/process-model-forecast-evaluation_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-7-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-forecast-evaluation_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-8-1.png b/process-model-forecast-evaluation_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-8-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-forecast.html b/process-model-forecast.html
@@ -576,7 +576,7 @@ <h2 data-number="21.4" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="step-4-save-forecast-and
 <pre><code>validating that file matches required standard</code></pre>
 </div>
 <div class="cell-output cell-output-stderr">
-<pre><code>data/terrestrial_daily-2025-02-18-bookcast_forest.csv</code></pre>
+<pre><code>data/terrestrial_daily-2025-02-19-bookcast_forest.csv</code></pre>
 </div>
 <div class="cell-output cell-output-stderr">
 <pre><code>✔ file has model_id column

diff --git a/process-model-forecast_files/figure-html/fig-step4-1.png b/process-model-forecast_files/figure-html/fig-step4-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-forecast_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-7-1.png b/process-model-forecast_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-7-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-alpha-1.png b/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-alpha-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-driver-unc2-1.png b/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-driver-unc2-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-init-unc-1.png b/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-init-unc-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-init-unc2-1.png b/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-init-unc2-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-parameter-unc-1.png b/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-parameter-unc-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-process-unc-1.png b/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-process-unc-1.png
diff --git a/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-process-unc2-1.png b/process-model-prop-uncertainty_files/figure-html/fig-process-unc2-1.png
diff --git a/process-model_files/figure-html/fig-determ-output-1.png b/process-model_files/figure-html/fig-determ-output-1.png
diff --git a/process-model_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-7-1.png b/process-model_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-7-1.png
diff --git a/project1.html b/project1.html
@@ -884,16 +884,16 @@ <h4 data-number="12.2.2.2" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="step-2-pre-process-d
 <pre><code># A tibble: 68 × 5
    datetime   site_id air_temperature temperature   doy
    &lt;date&gt;     &lt;chr&gt;             &lt;dbl&gt; &lt;lgl&gt;       &lt;dbl&gt;
- 1 2025-02-18 BARC               14.0 NA             49
- 2 2025-02-19 BARC               17.1 NA             50
- 3 2025-02-20 BARC               12.8 NA             51
- 4 2025-02-21 BARC               13.5 NA             52
- 5 2025-02-22 BARC               17.5 NA             53
- 6 2025-02-23 BARC               18.0 NA             54
- 7 2025-02-24 BARC               18.2 NA             55
- 8 2025-02-25 BARC               15.5 NA             56
- 9 2025-02-26 BARC               14.0 NA             57
-10 2025-02-27 BARC               15.8 NA             58
+ 1 2025-02-19 BARC               17.1 NA             50
+ 2 2025-02-20 BARC               16.5 NA             51
+ 3 2025-02-21 BARC               13.4 NA             52
+ 4 2025-02-22 BARC               12.9 NA             53
+ 5 2025-02-23 BARC               15.0 NA             54
+ 6 2025-02-24 BARC               19.0 NA             55
+ 7 2025-02-25 BARC               14.1 NA             56
+ 8 2025-02-26 BARC               11.9 NA             57
+ 9 2025-02-27 BARC               12.3 NA             58
+10 2025-02-28 BARC               14.7 NA             59
 # ℹ 58 more rows</code></pre>
 </div>
 </div>
@@ -998,7 +998,7 @@ <h3 data-number="12.3.1" class="anchored" data-anchor-id="step-1-set-up-targets"
 <pre><code># A tibble: 1 × 2
   start_date     h
   &lt;date&gt;     &lt;dbl&gt;
-1 2025-01-30    54</code></pre>
+1 2025-01-30    55</code></pre>
 </div>
 </div>
 <p>The targets have to be converted into a time-series tibble (called a <code>tsibble</code>). To make a <code>tsibble</code> you need to define the grouping variables (<code>key</code>) and the common that defines the time-series (<code>index</code>). Many modeling approaches require the datetime to be continuous (no gaps) but allow na values for values in the gaps. The <code>fill_gaps()</code> function fills the gaps with <code>NA</code>s.</p>

diff --git a/project1_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-3-1.png b/project1_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-3-1.png
diff --git a/project1_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-36-1.png b/project1_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-36-1.png
diff --git a/project1_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-46-1.png b/project1_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-46-1.png
diff --git a/search.json b/search.json