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Linear Regression Models for Time Series Data

This repository contains a Jupyter Notebook that demonstrates the application of linear regression models to time series data, specifically on stock market data (S&P 500). The notebook walks through the steps of preprocessing the data, fitting a linear regression model, and visualizing the results, including trends and uncertainty (standard deviations).

Features

  • Data Preprocessing: The dataset is cleaned and processed for use in linear regression modeling.
  • Modeling: Linear regression models are applied to identify trends in the time series data.
  • Visualization: The notebook provides visual representations of the actual stock prices, predicted trends, and standard deviations to assess model performance.

Getting Started

Prerequisites

  • Python 3.x
  • Jupyter Notebook
  • Required Python packages:
    • numpy
    • pandas
    • matplotlib
    • scikit-learn

Install the required packages using the following command: bash pip install numpy pandas matplotlib scikit-learn

Usage

  1. Clone this repository: bash git clone

Open the notebook in Jupyter: jupyter notebook Linear\ Regression\ Models.ipynb

Run the cells to preprocess the data, train the linear regression model, and visualize the results.

Results

The model provides a clear representation of the trend in the stock market data, along with upper and lower bounds representing one standard deviation from the predicted trend. A red dashed line is used to depict the trend, and green dashed lines are used to represent the confidence intervals (±1 standard deviation).

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