Hypothalamic circadian generator → trigeminovascular CGRP/PACAP release → parasympathetic outflow (SPG) and partial Horner's → 15–180 min attacks of unilateral periorbital VAS 9–10/10 pain occurring in stereotyped circadian/circannual bouts. Episodic in 80–90 %, chronic in 10–20 %. Male:female ≈ 3:1.
| File | Description |
|---|---|
ch_qsp_model.dot |
Graphviz source — 12 clusters · 104 nodes |
ch_qsp_model.svg · ch_qsp_model.png |
Rendered mechanistic map |
ch_mrgsolve_model.R |
25-compartment ODE QSP, 7 drugs + O2 + GON block |
ch_shiny_app.R |
8-tab Shiny dashboard |
ch_references.md |
72 PubMed references grouped by topic |
- Genetic & chronobiologic susceptibility — HCRTR2, ADCYAP1, MTNR1A, CLOCK, BMAL1, ADH4, family Hx ×5–18.
- Hypothalamic generator — posterior hypothalamic gray (May 1998 Lancet), SCN / PVN / orexin / pineal melatonin, blunted cortisol & testosterone, in-bout vs remission gate.
- Trigeminovascular activation — V1 trigeminal ganglion → dura · ICA · pial vessels; CGRP (jugular ↑ in attack, Goadsby 1994), PACAP-38, VIP, substance P, NO.
- Parasympathetic limb (trigeminal-autonomic reflex) — SSN → GSPN → SPG → lacrimation, rhinorrhea, conjunctival injection, forehead sweating.
- Sympathetic disruption — pericarotid plexus → SCG → ipsilateral ptosis + miosis (partial Horner's).
- Central pain processing — TCC (NMDA/AMPA) → ipsilateral thalamic VPM/Po → S1·insula·ACC; restlessness / agitation distinguishes CH from migraine.
- Receptor pharmacology targets — 5-HT 1B/1D/1F, L-type Ca²⁺, GSK-3β/IMPase (Li), OX2R, SSTR2/5, TRPV1, CGRP/CGRP-R mAbs.
- Drugs — acute (O2, sumatriptan SC, zolmitriptan IN, lidocaine IN, octreotide), transitional (prednisone, GON block), preventive (verapamil, lithium, topiramate, melatonin, galcanezumab CGRP-mAb, erenumab off-label, civamide IN), devices (SPG-stim, nVNS, ONS, posterior hypothalamic DBS), research (psilocybin / LSA).
- Pharmacokinetics — sumatriptan SC (CL 18 L/h, t½ ≈ 2 h), zolmitriptan IN, verapamil PR (CYP3A4, active norverapamil), lithium (renal CL ≈25 mL/min), topiramate (CL 1.2 L/h, t½ 21 h), galcanezumab (CL 0.008 L/h, t½ 27 d), prednisolone.
- Clinical endpoints — attacks/week (primary), VAS pain, pain-free 15 min, ≥50 % responder rate, serum CGRP / VIP, AE bands (PR/QT, lithium tox, topiramate cognition, mAb injection-site).
- Triggers / lifestyle — alcohol (bout-on only), histamine SC, nitroglycerin, nitrites/MSG, altitude/flights, odors, heat, daytime naps.
- Comorbidity & burden — depression 55–65 %, suicide ideation 20–25 % (highest among pain disorders), CV risk on verapamil, lost work, HIT-6/CH-NDI.
- Drug PK (16): sumatriptan SC (1-cmt), zolmitriptan IN (2-cmt + peripheral), verapamil PR (2-cmt), lithium (1-cmt, renal-CL adjusted by CrCL), topiramate (1-cmt), galcanezumab SC (1-cmt with first-order SC absorption, linear FcRn-recycled), prednisolone.
- Disease PD (9): hypothalamic drive (circadian + bout gate), CGRP tone, PACAP tone, pial effect site, attack hazard (smoothed), cumulative attacks, bout timer, O2 effect compartment, GON-block effect compartment (decays t½ ≈ 14 d).
- Composite preventive effect is a multiplicative escape:
1 − ∏(1 − Eᵢ)over verapamil, lithium, topiramate, galcanezumab, prednisolone, GON. - Acute abortive is a similar product over sumatriptan, zolmitriptan and O2 effect.
- Calibrations: Cohen 2009 JAMA (O2 78 % pain-free@15 min), Ekbom 1991 NEJM (SC sumatriptan 74 %), Leone 2000 Neurology (verapamil 240 mg/d), Steiner 1997 Cephalalgia (lithium), Goadsby 2019 NEJM / Dodick 2020 Cephalalgia (galcanezumab ECH/CCH), Obermann 2021 Lancet Neurol (prednisone bridge), Leroux 2011 Lancet Neurol (GON block).
| Scenario | Description |
|---|---|
| S0 | No treatment (natural bout) |
| S1 | O2 + sumatriptan 6 mg SC for an indexed attack |
| S2 | Verapamil 240 mg PR BID |
| S3 | Verapamil + lithium 300 mg BID (chronic CH) |
| S4 | Galcanezumab 300 mg SC q4w |
| S5 | Prednisone 60 → 40 → 20 mg taper + verapamil |
| S6 | GON block (one-shot 0.65 effect) + verapamil |
- Patient & disease profile (chronic vs episodic, hypothalamic drive)
- Drug PK (acute / preventive / mAb)
- Pathway PD (hypothalamic drive · CGRP/PACAP · pial)
- Clinical endpoints (attacks/week, hazard, trial-anchored table)
- Scenario comparison (S0–S6)
- Biomarkers (CGRP, PACAP, pial)
- Safety (verapamil PR/QT, lithium therapeutic band, galcanezumab exposure)
- References (renders
ch_references.md)
# Render map
dot -Tsvg ch_qsp_model.dot -o ch_qsp_model.svg
dot -Tpng -Gdpi=150 ch_qsp_model.dot -o ch_qsp_model.png
# Simulate (R)
Rscript -e 'source("ch_mrgsolve_model.R"); print(simulate_all())'
# Dashboard
Rscript -e 'shiny::runApp("ch_shiny_app.R")'Built by Claude Code Routine — 2026-06-30.