diff --git a/docs/current/PRODUCT.md b/docs/current/PRODUCT.md
index 633f4a59a..e7d6841cd 100644
--- a/docs/current/PRODUCT.md
+++ b/docs/current/PRODUCT.md
@@ -35,7 +35,7 @@ REST and any future server functions are *intended as* sibling adapters over the
 ## Holds
 
 - Frontend work is **HOLD** until ADR-0030 gates are freshly green, `Layer::Ui` is accepted, contracts and an SSR shell are stable, and real E2E evidence exists.
-- Company, Person, Employment, and PayRun projection fan-out is **HOLD** until each has an explicit owning port and a proven single-writer boundary.
+- Company, Person, Employment, and PayRun projection fan-out is **HOLD** until each has an explicit owning port and a proven single-writer boundary. Whether that condition currently holds is decided by `node tools/ci/hold-release-conditions.mjs`, which reports each object's owning crate, owned tables, the port suite proving its boundary, and whether that suite runs in the workflow PostgreSQL job. Releasing the hold remains a separate authority decision; the command reports evidence and does not confer it.
 - Live production, DNS, TLS, secret, exposure, payment, credential-reset, and compliance-claim actions are **HOLD** without separate authority and evidence.
 - Korea compliance conclusions remain **HOLD** pending qualified authority.
 - The grandfathered OCI Ampere A1 instance (4 OCPU / 24 GB) must **never** be destroyed, terminated, resized, or reprovisioned; re-creation permanently loses the reserved capacity.
diff --git a/docs/documentation-index.json b/docs/documentation-index.json
index ccd51d930..9f16a4a06 100644
--- a/docs/documentation-index.json
+++ b/docs/documentation-index.json
@@ -740,7 +740,7 @@
       "status": "active",
       "replacement": null,
       "retention": "retain",
-      "blob_sha": "633f4a59a5fb9a38d1956d017c0887726726efa8",
+      "blob_sha": "e7d6841cd8f8e00c8e904c95181fe4a70ffb67a5",
       "archive_tag": null
     },
     {
diff --git a/docs/documentation-manifest.seed.json b/docs/documentation-manifest.seed.json
index c560768c2..fb8d67269 100644
--- a/docs/documentation-manifest.seed.json
+++ b/docs/documentation-manifest.seed.json
@@ -656,7 +656,7 @@
     "status": "active",
     "replacement": null,
     "retention": "retain",
-    "blob_sha": "633f4a59a5fb9a38d1956d017c0887726726efa8",
+    "blob_sha": "e7d6841cd8f8e00c8e904c95181fe4a70ffb67a5",
     "archive_tag": null
   },
   {
diff --git a/tools/ci/gate-sweep.json b/tools/ci/gate-sweep.json
index 13816907e..ab890f283 100644
--- a/tools/ci/gate-sweep.json
+++ b/tools/ci/gate-sweep.json
@@ -7,7 +7,7 @@
     },
     {
       "id": "ci-tools-suites",
-      "run": "node --test tools/ci/cargo-test-runner.test.mjs tools/ci/work-order-request-no-seed.test.mjs tools/ci/check-product-buck-residual.test.mjs tools/ci/check-nextest-config.test.mjs tools/ci/check-postgres-cargo-map.test.mjs tools/ci/ingest-soft-reds.test.mjs scripts/local-admission.test.mjs tools/ci/assess-tip-contention.test.mjs tools/ci/check-mjs-dark-suites.test.mjs tools/ci/classify-ci-failure.test.mjs tools/ci/postgres-timings.test.mjs tools/ci/cargo-needs-postgres-args.test.mjs tools/ci/check-nightly-workflow.test.mjs tools/ci/nextest-filterset.test.mjs tools/ci/postgres-partition.test.mjs"
+      "run": "node --test tools/ci/cargo-test-runner.test.mjs tools/ci/work-order-request-no-seed.test.mjs tools/ci/check-product-buck-residual.test.mjs tools/ci/check-nextest-config.test.mjs tools/ci/check-postgres-cargo-map.test.mjs tools/ci/ingest-soft-reds.test.mjs scripts/local-admission.test.mjs tools/ci/assess-tip-contention.test.mjs tools/ci/check-mjs-dark-suites.test.mjs tools/ci/classify-ci-failure.test.mjs tools/ci/postgres-timings.test.mjs tools/ci/cargo-needs-postgres-args.test.mjs tools/ci/check-nightly-workflow.test.mjs tools/ci/nextest-filterset.test.mjs tools/ci/postgres-partition.test.mjs tools/ci/hold-release-conditions.test.mjs"
     },
     {
       "id": "check-product-buck-residual",
@@ -29,6 +29,10 @@
       "id": "check-nightly-workflow",
       "run": "node tools/ci/check-nightly-workflow.mjs"
     },
+    {
+      "id": "check-hold-release-conditions",
+      "run": "node tools/ci/hold-release-conditions.mjs"
+    },
     {
       "id": "check-foundation-gates-tests",
       "run": "node --test scripts/check-foundation-gates.test.mjs"
diff --git a/tools/ci/hold-release-conditions.mjs b/tools/ci/hold-release-conditions.mjs
new file mode 100644
index 000000000..02314f91b
--- /dev/null
+++ b/tools/ci/hold-release-conditions.mjs
@@ -0,0 +1,220 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env node
+/**
+ * Mechanically evaluate the projection fan-out HOLD in docs/current/PRODUCT.md.
+ *
+ * The hold reads:
+ *
+ *   "Company, Person, Employment, and PayRun projection fan-out is HOLD until
+ *    each has an explicit owning port and a proven single-writer boundary."
+ *
+ * Every clause of that is already enforced somewhere, and enforced WELL:
+ * `canonical_contract.rs` proves each key names an owner crate and at least one
+ * table it alone may write, `gate_detects_violation.rs` derives its owned-table
+ * set from `ObjectKey::ALL` and proves the static gate catches a second writer
+ * (including deliberately misspelled evasions), and
+ * `topology.canonical_enforcement` refuses at runtime to claim enforcement over
+ * zero tables. This file adds NO enforcement. Duplicating any of that would be
+ * the mistake, not the fix.
+ *
+ * What is missing is COMPOSITION. The hold's release condition is prose, and its
+ * evidence is spread across six files whose naming conventions disagree: the
+ * registry spells a key `PayRun`, the suite on disk is
+ * `pay_run_port_as_runtime_role.rs`, and the CI map calls the same suite
+ * `payroll-adapter-postgres-pay-run-port-as-runtime-role-pg`. Deciding whether
+ * the hold may lift therefore means re-deriving three transforms by hand, and
+ * that derivation is genuinely error-prone -- a `find` for the suite under the
+ * canonical adapter misses PayRun entirely, because PayRun's port suite lives in
+ * the payroll adapter with a different owner. Getting that wrong reads as "PayRun
+ * has almost no coverage" when it has seventeen tests.
+ *
+ * So: one command, three transforms applied consistently, evidence cited. It
+ * fails if any leg of the condition stops being true, which also means the hold
+ * text cannot quietly drift away from the registry it describes.
+ */
+import { readFileSync, readdirSync, statSync } from "node:fs";
+import { dirname, resolve, join } from "node:path";
+import { fileURLToPath } from "node:url";
+
+const ROOT = resolve(dirname(fileURLToPath(import.meta.url)), "../..");
+
+/** `PayRun` -> `pay_run`, matching the suite filenames on disk. */
+export function snakeCase(key) {
+  return key.replace(/([a-z0-9])([A-Z])/g, "$1_$2").toLowerCase();
+}
+
+/** `pay_run_port_as_runtime_role` -> `pay-run-port-as-runtime-role`, the CI map spelling. */
+export function kebabCase(snake) {
+  return snake.replace(/_/g, "-");
+}
+
+/**
+ * The canonical objects the hold names, read from the hold itself rather than
+ * hardcoded -- if someone edits the bullet, this follows.
+ *
+ * @param {string} markdown contents of PRODUCT.md
+ * @returns {string[]}
+ */
+export function holdObjects(markdown) {
+  const line = markdown
+    .split("\n")
+    .find((l) => l.includes("projection fan-out is **HOLD**"));
+  if (!line) {
+    throw new Error("PRODUCT.md no longer contains a projection fan-out HOLD bullet");
+  }
+  const subject = line.slice(line.indexOf("- ") + 2, line.indexOf("projection fan-out"));
+  return subject.match(/[A-Z][A-Za-z]+/g) ?? [];
+}
+
+/**
+ * The writer-ownership registry: every object key, its owning crate, its tables.
+ *
+ * @param {string} source contents of canonical-domain/src/lib.rs
+ * @returns {Array<{key:string, slug:string, owner:string, tables:string[]}>}
+ */
+export function registry(source) {
+  const out = [];
+  const re = /(\w+) => "(\w+)",\s*\n\s*owner = "([^"]+)",\s*\n\s*tables = \[([\s\S]*?)\];/g;
+  let m;
+  while ((m = re.exec(source)) !== null) {
+    const [, key, slug, owner, rawTables] = m;
+    const tables = rawTables
+      .split(",")
+      .map((t) => t.trim().replace(/^"|"$/g, ""))
+      .filter(Boolean);
+    out.push({ key, slug, owner, tables });
+  }
+  return out;
+}
+
+/** Every `*_port_as_runtime_role.rs` in the tree, by basename without extension. */
+export function portSuites(root = ROOT) {
+  const found = new Map();
+  const walk = (dir) => {
+    let entries;
+    try {
+      entries = readdirSync(dir, { withFileTypes: true });
+    } catch {
+      return;
+    }
+    for (const entry of entries) {
+      if (entry.name === "target" || entry.name === ".git" || entry.name === "node_modules") continue;
+      const full = join(dir, entry.name);
+      // Resolve through symlinks: `withFileTypes` reports a symlinked directory
+      // as neither file nor directory, so a naive `isDirectory()` walk skips it
+      // and silently under-reports proofs. A verifier that misses a suite would
+      // report a met condition as unmet -- noisy, but worse, it trains you to
+      // ignore it.
+      let isDir = entry.isDirectory();
+      if (entry.isSymbolicLink()) {
+        try {
+          isDir = statSync(full).isDirectory();
+        } catch {
+          continue;
+        }
+      }
+      if (isDir) walk(full);
+      else if (entry.name.endsWith("_port_as_runtime_role.rs")) {
+        found.set(entry.name.replace(/\.rs$/, ""), full);
+      }
+    }
+  };
+  walk(join(root, "backend"));
+  return found;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Evaluate every leg of the hold's release condition.
+ *
+ * @returns {{failures: string[], rows: Array<object>}}
+ */
+export function evaluate(root = ROOT) {
+  const failures = [];
+  const product = readFileSync(resolve(root, "docs/current/PRODUCT.md"), "utf8");
+  const domain = readFileSync(
+    resolve(root, "backend/crates/ontology/canonical-domain/src/lib.rs"),
+    "utf8",
+  );
+  const map = JSON.parse(readFileSync(resolve(root, "tools/ci/postgres-cargo-map.json"), "utf8"));
+
+  const named = holdObjects(product);
+  const keys = registry(domain);
+  const suites = portSuites(root);
+
+  if (keys.length === 0) {
+    // A verifier that examines nothing must fail; a regex that silently stopped
+    // matching would otherwise report a clean bill of health over zero objects.
+    failures.push("registry: parsed zero object keys from canonical-domain/src/lib.rs");
+    return { failures, rows: [] };
+  }
+
+  // Every object the hold names must actually be a registry key. A hold naming
+  // an object that does not exist can never be evaluated, let alone released.
+  for (const object of named) {
+    if (!keys.some((k) => k.key === object)) {
+      failures.push(
+        `hold names "${object}" but it is not an ObjectKey; the hold cannot be evaluated against the registry`,
+      );
+    }
+  }
+
+  const rows = [];
+  for (const entry of keys) {
+    const snake = snakeCase(entry.key);
+    const suiteName = `${snake}_port_as_runtime_role`;
+    const suitePath = suites.get(suiteName);
+    const mapName = `${entry.owner.replace(/^console-/, "")}-${kebabCase(suiteName)}-pg`;
+    const mapped = (map.entries ?? []).find((e) => e.name === mapName);
+
+    // Leg 1: an explicit owning port.
+    if (!entry.owner.startsWith("console-")) {
+      failures.push(`${entry.key}: owner "${entry.owner}" is not a workspace crate`);
+    }
+    // Leg 2: a single-writer boundary -- at least one table it alone may write.
+    if (entry.tables.length === 0) {
+      failures.push(`${entry.key}: owns no table, so no writer rule applies to it`);
+    }
+    // Leg 3: a test that fails when the boundary breaks, and that actually runs.
+    if (!suitePath) {
+      failures.push(`${entry.key}: no ${suiteName}.rs on disk; the boundary has no port suite`);
+    }
+    if (!mapped) {
+      failures.push(`${entry.key}: no CI map entry named ${mapName}; its port suite may never run`);
+    } else if (!mapped.in_workflow_postgres_job) {
+      failures.push(`${entry.key}: CI map entry ${mapName} is not in the workflow postgres job`);
+    }
+
+    rows.push({
+      key: entry.key,
+      named: named.includes(entry.key),
+      owner: entry.owner,
+      tables: entry.tables.length,
+      suite: suitePath ? suitePath.slice(root.length + 1) : null,
+      ci: Boolean(mapped?.in_workflow_postgres_job),
+    });
+  }
+  return { failures, rows };
+}
+
+const isMain = process.argv[1] && process.argv[1].endsWith("hold-release-conditions.mjs");
+if (isMain) {
+  const { failures, rows } = evaluate();
+  for (const r of rows) {
+    const mark = r.owner && r.tables > 0 && r.suite && r.ci ? "MET" : "NOT MET";
+    console.log(
+      `${mark.padEnd(8)} ${r.key.padEnd(12)} ${r.named ? "(named in hold) " : "                "}` +
+        `owner=${r.owner} tables=${r.tables} ci=${r.ci ? "yes" : "no"}`,
+    );
+    if (r.suite) console.log(`${" ".repeat(9)}proof: ${r.suite}`);
+  }
+  console.log("");
+  if (failures.length) {
+    console.error(failures.join("\n"));
+    console.error(`\nhold-release-conditions: ${failures.length} unmet condition(s)`);
+    process.exit(1);
+  }
+  console.log(
+    "hold-release-conditions: every leg met for all " +
+      rows.length +
+      " canonical objects (owning port, owned tables, port suite, CI-wired)",
+  );
+}
diff --git a/tools/ci/hold-release-conditions.test.mjs b/tools/ci/hold-release-conditions.test.mjs
new file mode 100644
index 000000000..f38d85177
--- /dev/null
+++ b/tools/ci/hold-release-conditions.test.mjs
@@ -0,0 +1,92 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env node
+import { test } from "node:test";
+import assert from "node:assert/strict";
+import { evaluate, holdObjects, kebabCase, registry, snakeCase } from "./hold-release-conditions.mjs";
+
+test("hold-release-conditions", async (t) => {
+  await t.test("the three naming transforms agree across the six files", () => {
+    // This is the derivation that is actually error-prone. The registry says
+    // `PayRun`, the file on disk says `pay_run`, the CI map says `pay-run`.
+    assert.equal(snakeCase("PayRun"), "pay_run");
+    assert.equal(snakeCase("JobPosition"), "job_position");
+    assert.equal(snakeCase("OrgUnit"), "org_unit");
+    assert.equal(snakeCase("Person"), "person");
+    assert.equal(kebabCase("pay_run_port_as_runtime_role"), "pay-run-port-as-runtime-role");
+  });
+
+  await t.test("the hold's subject is read from the hold, not hardcoded", () => {
+    const md = [
+      "- Something else is **HOLD** for other reasons.",
+      "- Company, Person, Employment, and PayRun projection fan-out is **HOLD** until each has an explicit owning port and a proven single-writer boundary.",
+    ].join("\n");
+    assert.deepEqual(holdObjects(md), ["Company", "Person", "Employment", "PayRun"]);
+  });
+
+  await t.test("a rewritten hold is followed, not ignored", () => {
+    const md = "- Company and OrgUnit projection fan-out is **HOLD** until each has an explicit owning port.";
+    assert.deepEqual(holdObjects(md), ["Company", "OrgUnit"]);
+  });
+
+  await t.test("a deleted hold bullet is an error, not a silent pass", () => {
+    // If the bullet is removed, this verifier must not quietly report success
+    // over an empty subject list -- that would be the emptiest false green.
+    assert.throws(() => holdObjects("# PRODUCT\n\nno holds here\n"), /no longer contains/);
+  });
+
+  await t.test("the registry parser reads key, owner and tables", () => {
+    const src = `
+            PayRun => "pay_run",
+                owner = "console-payroll-adapter-postgres",
+                tables = ["payroll_draft_runs", "payroll_draft_lines"];
+        `;
+    assert.deepEqual(registry(src), [
+      {
+        key: "PayRun",
+        slug: "pay_run",
+        owner: "console-payroll-adapter-postgres",
+        tables: ["payroll_draft_runs", "payroll_draft_lines"],
+      },
+    ]);
+  });
+
+  await t.test("a registry that parses to nothing fails closed", () => {
+    // Guarding zero subjects must fail. If the macro's shape changes and the
+    // regex stops matching, this verifier must go red rather than declare the
+    // hold releasable over an empty roster.
+    assert.deepEqual(registry("nothing that looks like a port declaration"), []);
+  });
+
+  await t.test("every leg of the hold is currently met on this tree", () => {
+    // The load-bearing assertion: all four objects the hold names (and the two
+    // it does not) have an owning port, at least one owned table, a port suite
+    // proving the boundary, and that suite wired into the workflow postgres job.
+    const { failures, rows } = evaluate();
+    assert.deepEqual(failures, [], failures.join("\n"));
+    assert.equal(rows.length, 6, "the six canonical object keys");
+    for (const row of rows) {
+      assert.ok(row.owner.startsWith("console-"), `${row.key} owner`);
+      assert.ok(row.tables > 0, `${row.key} owns no table`);
+      assert.ok(row.suite, `${row.key} has no port suite`);
+      assert.ok(row.ci, `${row.key} port suite is not CI-wired`);
+    }
+  });
+
+  await t.test("every object the hold names is a real registry key", () => {
+    const { rows } = evaluate();
+    const named = rows.filter((r) => r.named).map((r) => r.key);
+    assert.deepEqual(named, ["Company", "Person", "Employment", "PayRun"]);
+  });
+
+  await t.test("PayRun's proof lives outside the canonical adapter", () => {
+    // Pinned deliberately. Searching only the canonical adapter's test directory
+    // finds five of six port suites and misses PayRun, whose owner is the
+    // payroll adapter -- which reads as "PayRun is barely covered" when it has
+    // the largest owned-table set of the six. That wrong turn is the reason this
+    // verifier exists, so the shape of it is worth keeping red-detectable.
+    const { rows } = evaluate();
+    const payRun = rows.find((r) => r.key === "PayRun");
+    assert.equal(payRun.owner, "console-payroll-adapter-postgres");
+    assert.match(payRun.suite, /^backend\/crates\/payroll\/adapter-postgres\//);
+    assert.equal(payRun.tables, 6, "PayRun owns the largest table set of the six");
+  });
+});