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WorldThreatModel — Installation Guide

For AI agents installing this pack into a user's PAI infrastructure.

AI Agent Instructions

Use Claude Code's native tools (AskUserQuestion, TodoWrite, Bash, Read, Write) to walk the user through this wizard.

Welcome Message

"I'm installing the WorldThreatModel skill from the PAI v5.0.0 release.

Persistent world-model harness that stress-tests ideas, strategies, and investments against 11 time horizons from 6 months to 50 years. Each horizon model is a deep (~10 page) analysis of geopolitics, technology, economics, society, environment, security, and wildcards stored at PAI_DIR/MEMORY/RESEARCH/WorldModels/. Three execution tiers: Fast (~2 min, single synthesizing agent), Standard (~10 min, 11 parallel horizon agents + RedTeam + FirstPrinciples), Deep (up to 1hr, adds per-horizon Research + Council). Four workflows: TestIdea (test any input across all 11 horizons, returns probability-weighted scenario matrix), UpdateModels (refresh model content with new research), ViewModels (read and summarize current state), TestScenario (test against alternative future models like great-correction-2027). Context files: ModelTemplate.md (structure for horizon model documents), OutputFormat.md (template for TestIdea results). Scenario models stored at WorldModels/Scenarios/. Orchestrates RedTeam, FirstPrinciples, Council, and Research internally.

Let me check your system and install."

Phase 1: System Analysis

CLAUDE_DIR="$HOME/.claude"
SKILL_DIR="$CLAUDE_DIR/skills/WorldThreatModel"

if [ -d "$SKILL_DIR" ]; then
  echo "EXISTING WorldThreatModel skill found at $SKILL_DIR — will back up before install"
else
  echo "Clean install — no existing WorldThreatModel skill"
fi

Phase 2: Confirm with User

Ask the user (use AskUserQuestion):

  1. "Install WorldThreatModel into ~/.claude/skills/WorldThreatModel/? (yes/no)"
  2. If existing skill found: "Back up the existing WorldThreatModel to ~/.claude/skills/WorldThreatModel.backup-{timestamp}/ first? (yes/no — recommend yes)"

Phase 3: Backup (only if existing)

if [ -d "$SKILL_DIR" ]; then
  BACKUP="$SKILL_DIR.backup-$(date +%Y%m%d-%H%M%S)"
  mv "$SKILL_DIR" "$BACKUP"
  echo "Backed up to $BACKUP"
fi

Phase 4: Install

mkdir -p "$CLAUDE_DIR/skills"
cp -R src/ "$SKILL_DIR/"
echo "Installed to $SKILL_DIR"

Phase 5: Verify

Run the file and functional checks in VERIFY.md. Confirm to the user when all checks pass.