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Probe debt tracker: unprobed rules and clauses (round-5 queue) #92

Description

@F-e-u-e-r

Standing tracker for the house covenant's probe debt: every behavioral rule
or clause shipped with an unprobed marker owes a bare-vs-ruled probe (or a
recorded demotion/decline). This issue is the re-read surface that keeps the
debt visible — per skill-authoring §3, a debt parked only in a plan or
summary nothing re-opens is an invalidation failure.

Live view (canonical — do not hand-maintain a list here)

The in-body markers in the skill files are the ground truth:

grep -rn 'unprobed' skills/*/SKILL.md

Snapshot at a148180 (occurrence counts per file; includes Provenance prose —
the in-body markers are the canonical subset):

cross-model-review 4 | delegation-and-review 34 | domain-evidence 1
ground-truth-gates 14 | operational-rigor 28 | security-architect 4
skill-authoring 40 | skill-vetting 1

Recent additions: +11 unprobed rules/clauses from the #85#89 combined merge
(#90); #91 (pre-registration ordering clause) will add one more if merged.

Closure semantics

A marker leaves the queue only by one of:

  1. Probe run — bare/ruled arms per skill-authoring §7 (environment-
    relative baseline, audience tier, symmetric leakage controls), and the
    marker updated in place with the result. Precedent: skill-authoring: repair the derived-file rule's trigger (it fails both arms), record first probe results for the 2026-07-25 four #85 recorded first
    probe results for the four 2026-07-25 rules, including one repair and one
    flagged non-discrimination.
  2. Demotion/decline — a recorded judgment that the line comes out or the
    probe is deliberately declined, with the reason in Provenance.

Probes are owner-run on the private successor suite (see the README
covenant); results land here as marker diffs, not as suite artifacts.

This issue stays open as long as any in-body unprobed marker exists; it is
a queue, not a milestone.

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